Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 53.8% vs Fiddler 52.0% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Fiddler leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 62.0%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 69.1%
Neutral zone
Fiddler 57.0%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 59.9%
40.1%
59.9%
Stastny
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Stastny
Fiddler
Last 10: Stastny 4-6 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Stastny
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
4
Stastny
Fiddler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Stastny
Fiddler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (995)
55.4% (737)
-2.2%
Power Play
57.6% (158)
56.7% (30)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
61.4% (57)
40.9% (215)
+20.5%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Stastny is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (738).
Stastny shoots left. Fiddler is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (633).
Home / Away
Stastny
Fiddler
Home
55.1% (586)
54.0% (489)
Away
53.2% (624)
50.5% (493)
By Period
Stastny
Fiddler
P1
54.7%
52.9%
P2
53.1%
51.6%
P3
54.2%
52.6%
OT
60.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2014 | 3 | 04:13 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 14:29 | Offensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 11:39 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 1, 2013 | OT | 03:22 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 14:01 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 1 | 04:09 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Oct 15, 2013 | 1 | 15:12 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |