Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.6% vs Fiddler 50.7% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 90.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 62.6%
Neutral zone
Stastny 77.8%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Stastny
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Stastny
Fiddler
Last 10: Stastny 7-3 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Fiddler
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
2
Stastny
Fiddler
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
1
Stastny
Fiddler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (967)
52.4% (590)
+4.1%
Power Play
58.4% (125)
48.3% (29)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (128)
47.5% (278)
+3.3%
On power play, Stastny has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Stastny is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (765).
Stastny shoots left. Fiddler is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Home / Away
Stastny
Fiddler
Home
56.8% (590)
51.6% (434)
Away
55.4% (630)
49.9% (463)
By Period
Stastny
Fiddler
P1
59.7%
45.4%
P2
54.8%
52.1%
P3
53.8%
54.3%
OT
60.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
56.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 04:54 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 14:09 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 09:50 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 02:51 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 26, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 2 | 18:46 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 10:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 01:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |