Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +21.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 54.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ejdsell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.6% vs Ejdsell 43.8% (+21.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 82.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 82.2%
Neutral zone
Stastny 85.5%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Stastny
Ejdsell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Stastny
Ejdsell
Last 8: Stastny 5-3 Ejdsell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ejdsell
1
2
Stastny
Ejdsell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
1
Stastny
Ejdsell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
0
Stastny
Ejdsell
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Ejdsell
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (1,130)
32.2% (59)
+22.6%
Power Play
59.1% (235)
100.0% (1)
-40.9%
On power play, Ejdsell has a +40.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ejdsell shoots left. Stastny is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Stastny shoots left. Ejdsell is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Stastny
Ejdsell
Home
55.5% (803)
38.2% (34)
Away
54.2% (712)
26.9% (26)
By Period
Stastny
Ejdsell
P1
57.4%
30.4%
P2
52.5%
29.4%
P3
54.3%
36.8%
OT
69.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.0%
18.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.9%
Ejdsell
30.0%▼
33.3%
33.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2018 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 06:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 04:33 | Defensive | Victor Ejdsell |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Victor Ejdsell |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Victor Ejdsell |
| Mar 29, 2018 | 1 | 08:48 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |