Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Stastny wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Rask 50.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 30-21 in 51 meetings
Offensive zone
Rask 72.5%
Defensive zone
Rask 74.7%
Neutral zone
Rask 70.9%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 72.5%
27.5%
72.5%
Stastny
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
30
(51 meetings)
21
30
Stastny
Rask
Last 10: Stastny 2-8 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
6
11
Stastny
Rask
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
7
Stastny
Rask
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
7
12
Stastny
Rask
19 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (10,616)
50.0% (4,428)
+4.6%
Power Play
59.1% (1,994)
54.3% (363)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (1,119)
35.2% (54)
+17.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Stastny shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
Stastny
Rask
Home
55.9% (7,073)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
54.3% (6,705)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
Stastny
Rask
P1
56.3%
50.7%
P2
55.4%
48.9%
P3
53.5%
50.7%
OT
62.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 03:42 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 30, 2017 | 1 | 00:43 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 10:41 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 02:50 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 2 | 17:37 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 27, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |