Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 54.2% vs Rask 47.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rask 75.0%
Defensive zone
Rask 82.0%
Neutral zone
Rask 71.4%
Result
Victor Rask favored at 76.5%
23.5%
76.5%
Stastny
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
8
(9 meetings)
1
8
Stastny
Rask
Last 9: Stastny 1-8 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
3
Stastny
Rask
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
Stastny
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
Stastny
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (657)
46.6% (397)
+6.2%
Power Play
61.0% (118)
58.1% (31)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
61.1% (72)
50.0% (2)
+11.1%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. Stastny is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Stastny shoots left. Rask is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (287).
Home / Away
Stastny
Rask
Home
53.0% (464)
50.0% (202)
Away
56.7% (383)
45.2% (228)
By Period
Stastny
Rask
P1
47.9%
51.1%
P2
59.6%
43.2%
P3
54.9%
48.5%
Final 5 min
57.7%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 03:06 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 29, 2019 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:35 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 08:07 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 1 | 01:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |