Paul Stastny vs Vincent Lecavalier
2011-12 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stastny wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Lecavalier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 55.1% vs Lecavalier 48.0% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 75.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 90.9%
Neutral zone
Stastny 89.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 84.4%
84.4%
15.6%
Stastny
Lecavalier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
0
(7 meetings)
7
0
Stastny
Lecavalier
Last 7: Stastny 7-0 Lecavalier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Lecavalier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
0
Stastny
Lecavalier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Lecavalier
Edge
Even Strength
55.0% (1,136)
47.7% (897)
+7.3%
Power Play
57.5% (200)
51.1% (227)
+6.4%
Penalty Kill
53.1% (64)
34.8% (23)
+18.3%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lecavalier shoots left. Stastny is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Stastny shoots left. Lecavalier is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (792).
Home / Away
Stastny
Lecavalier
Home
58.5% (744)
51.5% (538)
Away
52.1% (680)
44.7% (624)
By Period
Stastny
Lecavalier
P1
57.9%
48.3%
P2
54.9%
50.4%
P3
53.0%
44.3%
OT
72.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.4%
Lecavalier
52.0%▲
46.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2011 | OT | 01:32 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 00:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 18:52 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 07:33 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |