Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stastny 53.0% vs Sobotka 51.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 74.3%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.8%
Neutral zone
Stastny 61.7%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Stastny
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Stastny
Sobotka
Last 9: Stastny 6-3 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
3
0
Stastny
Sobotka
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
3
Stastny
Sobotka
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
0
Stastny
Sobotka
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stastny
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
52.2% (1,107)
55.4% (323)
-3.2%
Power Play
61.0% (254)
42.9% (28)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (138)
38.5% (65)
+7.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Stastny is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,059).
Stastny shoots left. Sobotka is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Stastny
Sobotka
Home
52.5% (785)
52.1% (213)
Away
53.9% (739)
51.0% (206)
By Period
Stastny
Sobotka
P1
51.3%
51.2%
P2
55.2%
49.0%
P3
52.6%
54.0%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
53.1%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 10:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 11:55 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |