Pavel Buchnevich vs Sean Couturier

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Sean Couturier holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Buchnevich wins 35.6% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Buchnevich 45.3% vs Couturier 53.4% (-13.6%)
Offensive zone Buchnevich 73.3%
Defensive zone Couturier 78.9%
Neutral zone Couturier 58.6%
Result Sean Couturier favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Buchnevich Couturier
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
Buchnevich
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (78)
52.6% (624)
-11.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
66.7% (66)
-22.3%
Penalty Kill
20.0% (5)
53.2% (188)
-33.2%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +33.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Buchnevich is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (45).
Buchnevich shoots left. Couturier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (581).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Couturier
Home
40.0% (60)
50.7% (424)
Away
40.6% (32)
56.6% (454)
By Period
Buchnevich
Couturier
P1
38.1%
55.5%
P2
30.8%
51.7%
P3
54.5%
55.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
36.4%
58.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
40.0%
41.0%
40.2%
Couturier
46.0%
47.5%
53.8%