Pavel Buchnevich vs Sean Couturier
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sean Couturier holds a +18.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Couturier on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Buchnevich wins 32.8% vs left-shot opponents — Couturier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Buchnevich 35.4% vs Couturier 52.6% (-18.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 69.0%
Defensive zone
Couturier 60.8%
Neutral zone
Buchnevich 63.0%
Result
Pavel Buchnevich favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Buchnevich
Couturier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Buchnevich
Couturier
Last 8: Buchnevich 3-5 Couturier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Buchnevich
Couturier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Couturier
1
3
Buchnevich
Couturier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Buchnevich
Couturier
Edge
Even Strength
33.7% (895)
52.5% (11,063)
-18.8%
Power Play
44.2% (52)
59.7% (1,280)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
24.3% (37)
48.5% (1,816)
-24.2%
On penalty kill, Couturier has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Couturier shoots left. Buchnevich is 32.8% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Buchnevich shoots left. Couturier is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (8,920).
Home / Away
Buchnevich
Couturier
Home
34.7% (490)
53.4% (7,147)
Away
33.2% (494)
51.8% (7,019)
By Period
Buchnevich
Couturier
P1
34.4%
52.5%
P2
33.7%
52.6%
P3
33.4%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
49.4%
Final 5 min
37.1%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Buchnevich
36.0%▼
38.5%
33.9%
Couturier
52.0%▬
51.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 12:21 | Offensive | Sean Couturier |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 2 | 03:18 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Feb 18, 2018 | 1 | 07:46 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 1 | 06:17 | Neutral | Sean Couturier |