Scouting Report
Pavel Datsyuk holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Duchene on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 50.9% vs Datsyuk 55.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Datsyuk 59.0%
Defensive zone
Datsyuk 88.7%
Neutral zone
Datsyuk 72.4%
Result
Pavel Datsyuk favored at 75.6%
24.4%
75.6%
Duchene
Datsyuk
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Duchene
Datsyuk
Last 7: Duchene 5-2 Datsyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Duchene
Datsyuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
1
Duchene
Datsyuk
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
0
Duchene
Datsyuk
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Datsyuk
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (357)
56.9% (843)
-5.9%
Power Play
53.6% (28)
57.9% (197)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
54.2% (190)
-4.2%
On even strength, Datsyuk has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Datsyuk shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Duchene shoots left. Datsyuk is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (810).
Home / Away
Duchene
Datsyuk
Home
51.0% (208)
57.8% (633)
Away
51.4% (183)
54.5% (616)
By Period
Duchene
Datsyuk
P1
53.3%
57.5%
P2
53.4%
54.2%
P3
44.6%
56.9%
OT
66.7%
54.2%
Final 5 min
56.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 16:15 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 05:31 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 2 | 18:21 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:56 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Oct 8, 2011 | 1 | 00:12 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |