Scouting Report
Pavel Datsyuk holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backlund 48.5% vs Datsyuk 53.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Datsyuk 88.2%
Defensive zone
Backlund 57.9%
Neutral zone
Datsyuk 74.9%
Result
Pavel Datsyuk favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
Backlund
Datsyuk
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Backlund
Datsyuk
Last 7: Backlund 6-1 Datsyuk
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Backlund
Datsyuk
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
1
0
Backlund
Datsyuk
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backlund
4
0
Backlund
Datsyuk
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backlund
Datsyuk
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (711)
52.7% (869)
-2.6%
Power Play
43.2% (81)
57.0% (230)
-13.8%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (83)
52.2% (23)
-13.6%
On power play, Datsyuk has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Datsyuk shoots left. Backlund is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Backlund shoots left. Datsyuk is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (660).
Home / Away
Backlund
Datsyuk
Home
51.0% (396)
57.3% (485)
Away
46.1% (479)
50.7% (637)
By Period
Backlund
Datsyuk
P1
43.9%
56.3%
P2
51.5%
53.2%
P3
51.0%
51.8%
OT
12.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.3%
Datsyuk
46.0%▼
55.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 6, 2015 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 15:22 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 05:46 | Offensive | Pavel Datsyuk |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:16 | Offensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |