Scouting Report
Dakota Joshua holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Joshua 50.5% vs Zacha 49.1% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.1%
Defensive zone
Zacha 54.8%
Neutral zone
Joshua 51.9%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.0%
49.0%
51.0%
Joshua
Zacha
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Joshua
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (288)
48.9% (5,102)
+2.8%
Power Play
75.0% (8)
55.6% (804)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (20)
42.2% (555)
-17.2%
On power play, Joshua has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Joshua is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Joshua shoots left. Zacha is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,921).
Home / Away
Joshua
Zacha
Home
48.3% (149)
49.7% (3,353)
Away
52.7% (167)
48.5% (3,108)
By Period
Joshua
Zacha
P1
55.6%
49.9%
P2
44.2%
49.2%
P3
52.3%
48.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Joshua
34.0%▼
47.5%
50.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
49.1%