Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Rooney wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rooney 47.7% vs Zacha 54.4% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rooney 52.3%
Defensive zone
Rooney 87.8%
Neutral zone
Rooney 69.7%
Result
Kevin Rooney favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Rooney
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rooney
Zacha
Last 5: Rooney 1-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Rooney
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Rooney
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
1
Rooney
Zacha
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rooney
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (181)
53.9% (787)
-5.8%
Power Play
66.7% (6)
63.2% (193)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (21)
44.3% (88)
-15.7%
On penalty kill, Zacha has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Rooney is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Rooney shoots left. Zacha is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Rooney
Zacha
Home
49.1% (112)
56.7% (538)
Away
43.8% (96)
52.8% (530)
By Period
Rooney
Zacha
P1
40.0%
52.6%
P2
53.4%
54.8%
P3
46.7%
56.8%
Final 5 min
41.4%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rooney
40.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:19 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 22, 2024 | 1 | 07:06 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 02:15 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 05:19 | Defensive | Kevin Rooney |