Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Krebs on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.8% vs Krebs 45.4% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Krebs 71.9%
Defensive zone
Krebs 72.0%
Neutral zone
Krebs 76.5%
Result
Peyton Krebs favored at 74.7%
25.3%
74.7%
Zacha
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Zacha
Krebs
Last 5: Zacha 1-4 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
2
Zacha
Krebs
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Krebs
1
2
Zacha
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (700)
44.4% (403)
+8.6%
Power Play
54.1% (109)
33.3% (6)
+20.8%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (74)
45.0% (20)
-5.8%
On power play, Zacha has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Zacha shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Zacha
Krebs
Home
51.6% (438)
46.3% (205)
Away
52.4% (445)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Zacha
Krebs
P1
57.0%
47.0%
P2
48.9%
45.4%
P3
50.5%
40.7%
OT
42.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:33 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Mar 25, 2026 | 1 | 18:19 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 19:39 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |