Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Zacha wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.9% vs Bennett 47.7% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 58.7%
Defensive zone
Zacha 76.3%
Neutral zone
Zacha 61.5%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Zacha
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Zacha
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zacha
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
1
0
Zacha
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (497)
46.3% (630)
+7.4%
Power Play
54.8% (84)
52.5% (118)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (64)
48.6% (37)
-11.1%
On penalty kill, Bennett has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Zacha is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Zacha shoots left. Bennett is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (527).
Home / Away
Zacha
Bennett
Home
51.0% (335)
48.4% (432)
Away
53.5% (310)
46.2% (353)
By Period
Zacha
Bennett
P1
60.0%
46.1%
P2
48.1%
45.1%
P3
48.8%
50.8%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
48.0%▼
51.0%
52.2%
Bennett
50.0%▲
43.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |