Scouting Report
Pavel Zacha holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zacha on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zacha wins 55.0% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zacha 51.3% vs Laughton 49.2% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 55.6%
Defensive zone
Laughton 54.5%
Neutral zone
Laughton 51.4%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Zacha
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Zacha
Laughton
Last 7: Zacha 3-4 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
2
1
Zacha
Laughton
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
0
1
Zacha
Laughton
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Zacha
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zacha
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
53.3% (411)
49.9% (375)
+3.4%
Power Play
51.8% (114)
85.7% (7)
-33.9%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (81)
36.7% (49)
+5.3%
On power play, Laughton has a +33.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Zacha is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (280).
Zacha shoots left. Laughton is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
Zacha
Laughton
Home
52.2% (295)
46.0% (211)
Away
50.8% (311)
51.8% (220)
By Period
Zacha
Laughton
P1
50.5%
53.1%
P2
51.3%
52.2%
P3
52.0%
42.4%
OT
61.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.5%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zacha
46.0%▼
50.5%
51.5%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 18:24 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:09 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 12:13 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |