Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Henrique wins 54.5% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 51.7% vs Holland 46.1% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 66.2%
Defensive zone
Holland 66.0%
Neutral zone
Holland 62.9%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 64.3%
35.7%
64.3%
Henrique
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Henrique
Holland
Last 9: Henrique 3-6 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Henrique
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
4
Henrique
Holland
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (358)
45.4% (575)
+8.0%
Power Play
55.2% (67)
44.8% (29)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
44.7% (94)
46.9% (81)
-2.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Henrique is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Henrique shoots left. Holland is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Henrique
Holland
Home
53.9% (245)
47.2% (373)
Away
50.4% (274)
43.6% (312)
By Period
Henrique
Holland
P1
52.8%
46.8%
P2
56.5%
47.6%
P3
46.1%
42.5%
OT
58.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
51.9%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
52.0%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:21 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 00:30 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 19:00 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 16:05 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 11:14 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 06:31 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 03:58 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 15:16 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |