Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 57.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Holland 48.0% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 79.3%
Defensive zone
Holland 80.9%
Neutral zone
Holland 77.3%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 78.9%
21.1%
78.9%
Matthews
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Matthews
Holland
Last 6: Matthews 1-5 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Matthews
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
2
Matthews
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Matthews
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (613)
49.0% (196)
+5.5%
Power Play
52.9% (68)
50.0% (4)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
71.4% (7)
33.3% (27)
+38.1%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Matthews is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Matthews shoots left. Holland is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Matthews
Holland
Home
59.8% (351)
52.1% (94)
Away
49.0% (337)
43.6% (133)
By Period
Matthews
Holland
P1
58.0%
47.6%
P2
49.6%
48.6%
P3
55.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
56.4%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
54.5%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 17:47 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 15:23 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 07:51 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 1, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Holland |