Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Nelson wins 46.7% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nelson 44.4% vs Holland 46.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 58.8%
Defensive zone
Nelson 58.6%
Neutral zone
Holland 50.1%
Result
Brock Nelson favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Nelson
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Nelson
Holland
Last 6: Nelson 4-2 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Holland
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Nelson
Holland
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nelson
1
0
Nelson
Holland
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nelson
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (688)
45.0% (462)
-2.0%
Power Play
54.8% (42)
52.9% (34)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (61)
33.3% (6)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Nelson has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Nelson is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Nelson shoots left. Holland is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Nelson
Holland
Home
41.9% (391)
50.8% (240)
Away
45.5% (400)
40.5% (262)
By Period
Nelson
Holland
P1
47.1%
44.9%
P2
43.0%
46.0%
P3
40.9%
45.7%
OT
63.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
43.6%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nelson
60.0%▲
54.0%
43.7%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2017 | OT | 02:35 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 14:53 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 12:06 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 7, 2017 | 2 | 09:23 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |