Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 45.5%). Look for Jarnkrok on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 46.2% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 46.7% vs Holland 46.1% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jarnkrok 86.8%
Defensive zone
Holland 53.6%
Neutral zone
Jarnkrok 60.6%
Result
Calle Jarnkrok favored at 71.9%
71.9%
28.1%
Jarnkrok
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Jarnkrok
Holland
Last 7: Jarnkrok 6-1 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
0
Jarnkrok
Holland
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jarnkrok
3
1
Jarnkrok
Holland
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (601)
45.4% (575)
+1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (18)
44.8% (29)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
18.2% (22)
46.9% (81)
-28.7%
On penalty kill, Holland has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Jarnkrok is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (437).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Holland is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Holland
Home
44.5% (362)
47.2% (373)
Away
48.4% (279)
43.6% (312)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Holland
P1
48.5%
46.8%
P2
45.9%
47.6%
P3
44.7%
42.5%
OT
16.7%
41.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.2%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:34 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 1 | 01:22 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 08:18 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Nov 18, 2014 | 2 | 06:21 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |