Scouting Report
Derick Brassard holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Brassard 50.0% vs Holland 46.2% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 72.4%
Defensive zone
Holland 67.4%
Neutral zone
Holland 66.8%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
Brassard
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Brassard
Holland
Last 7: Brassard 1-6 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
4
Brassard
Holland
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Brassard
Holland
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
0
1
Brassard
Holland
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Brassard
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,057)
45.0% (462)
+4.7%
Power Play
52.3% (155)
52.9% (34)
-0.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
33.3% (6)
+12.9%
On penalty kill, Brassard has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Brassard is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (827).
Brassard shoots left. Holland is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Brassard
Holland
Home
53.7% (616)
50.8% (240)
Away
46.1% (609)
40.5% (262)
By Period
Brassard
Holland
P1
47.2%
44.9%
P2
50.9%
46.0%
P3
51.5%
45.7%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.0%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 2 | 13:04 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 16:54 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Derick Brassard |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Oct 12, 2016 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Peter Holland |