Scouting Report
Johan Larsson holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Larsson wins 46.1% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larsson 48.1% vs Holland 46.9% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Holland 54.3%
Defensive zone
Larsson 55.2%
Neutral zone
Larsson 52.4%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Larsson
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Larsson
Holland
Last 5: Larsson 3-2 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larsson
2
0
Larsson
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
1
2
Larsson
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larsson
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (258)
46.0% (374)
+2.4%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
55.6% (18)
-27.0%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (20)
0.0% (3)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Larsson has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Larsson is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Larsson shoots left. Holland is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Larsson
Holland
Home
46.8% (154)
46.7% (225)
Away
48.1% (131)
45.3% (170)
By Period
Larsson
Holland
P1
50.5%
48.2%
P2
48.5%
47.1%
P3
43.2%
41.9%
Final 5 min
56.5%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larsson
40.0%▼
46.5%
47.4%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 06:26 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:36 | Offensive | Johan Larsson |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 19:29 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Peter Holland |