Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Holland wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 48.0% vs O'Reilly 59.5% (-12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 53.7%
Defensive zone
Holland 63.0%
Neutral zone
Holland 61.7%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 59.4%
59.4%
40.6%
Holland
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Holland
O'Reilly
Last 5: Holland 2-3 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Holland
O'Reilly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
2
1
Holland
O'Reilly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Holland
O'Reilly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (196)
60.3% (1,517)
-11.3%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
61.5% (387)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
55.0% (220)
-21.7%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Holland is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Holland shoots left. O'Reilly is 60.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,411).
Home / Away
Holland
O'Reilly
Home
52.1% (94)
62.5% (1,143)
Away
43.6% (133)
57.1% (981)
By Period
Holland
O'Reilly
P1
47.6%
56.8%
P2
48.6%
64.6%
P3
45.1%
58.5%
Final 5 min
59.4%
59.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
47.1%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2018 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 19:57 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:09 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 18, 2018 | 2 | 08:26 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |