Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 46.5%). Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Holland wins 53.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 48.0% vs Kuraly 46.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuraly 51.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 64.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.8%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 56.5%
43.5%
56.5%
Holland
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Holland
Kuraly
Last 8: Holland 6-2 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Holland
1
0
Holland
Kuraly
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Holland
2
1
Holland
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
3
1
Holland
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (196)
46.0% (661)
+3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
77.8% (9)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (27)
47.1% (51)
-13.8%
On power play, Kuraly has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Holland is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Holland shoots left. Kuraly is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (524).
Home / Away
Holland
Kuraly
Home
52.1% (94)
47.2% (335)
Away
43.6% (133)
45.9% (386)
By Period
Holland
Kuraly
P1
47.6%
47.1%
P2
48.6%
44.6%
P3
45.1%
48.1%
Final 5 min
59.4%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
47.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:30 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 2 | 07:25 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 16:09 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:41 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:30 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 7, 2018 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Peter Holland |