Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (45.7% vs 46.5%). Look for Graovac on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 45.9% vs Graovac 47.1% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 60.8%
Defensive zone
Holland 71.5%
Neutral zone
Holland 57.0%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 66.6%
66.6%
33.4%
Holland
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Holland
Graovac
Last 6: Holland 2-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
3
Holland
Graovac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Holland
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (2,232)
46.5% (497)
-0.9%
Power Play
52.4% (126)
50.0% (4)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Holland is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,605).
Holland shoots left. Graovac is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Holland
Graovac
Home
48.6% (1,288)
47.6% (233)
Away
42.7% (1,207)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Holland
Graovac
P1
46.1%
41.7%
P2
47.3%
47.4%
P3
43.9%
51.0%
Final 5 min
46.8%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |