Scouting Report
Tyler Graovac holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Graovac on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Holland wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Graovac shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 46.2% vs Graovac 48.1% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Graovac 51.5%
Defensive zone
Holland 68.3%
Neutral zone
Holland 58.2%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Holland
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Holland
Graovac
Last 6: Holland 2-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
3
Holland
Graovac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Holland
Graovac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (462)
47.5% (341)
-2.5%
Power Play
52.9% (34)
50.0% (2)
+2.9%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Holland is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Holland shoots left. Graovac is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Holland
Graovac
Home
50.8% (240)
48.6% (181)
Away
40.5% (262)
46.3% (162)
By Period
Holland
Graovac
P1
44.9%
42.4%
P2
46.0%
46.8%
P3
45.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.4%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 03:03 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 12:04 | Defensive | Peter Holland |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 16:40 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |