Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Holland wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Tikhonov shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Holland 47.1% vs Tikhonov 44.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tikhonov 60.6%
Defensive zone
Holland 62.4%
Neutral zone
Holland 53.9%
Result
Peter Holland favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Holland
Tikhonov
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Holland
Tikhonov
Last 6: Holland 3-3 Tikhonov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tikhonov
0
2
Holland
Tikhonov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tikhonov
0
1
Holland
Tikhonov
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
3
0
Holland
Tikhonov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Holland
Tikhonov
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (411)
39.8% (98)
+5.9%
Power Play
55.9% (34)
33.3% (18)
+22.6%
On power play, Holland has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tikhonov shoots right. Holland is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Holland shoots left. Tikhonov is 36.9% vs left-shot opponents (84).
Home / Away
Holland
Tikhonov
Home
48.9% (219)
40.0% (85)
Away
44.3% (246)
35.5% (31)
By Period
Holland
Tikhonov
P1
44.0%
46.2%
P2
51.7%
34.3%
P3
44.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.5%
29.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
46.5%
Tikhonov
34.0%▼
38.8%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 04:56 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 07:43 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Viktor Tikhonov |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 09:19 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 06:40 | Defensive | Viktor Tikhonov |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:54 | Offensive | Viktor Tikhonov |