Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Mueller wins 35.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mueller 47.1% vs Stamkos 49.6% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 50.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 53.9%
Neutral zone
Mueller 57.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Mueller
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Mueller
Stamkos
Last 5: Mueller 2-3 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
Mueller
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Mueller
Stamkos
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mueller
1
0
Mueller
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mueller
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (79)
48.1% (669)
-6.3%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
58.2% (110)
-6.2%
On even strength, Stamkos has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Mueller is 35.1% vs right-shot opponents (37).
Mueller shoots right. Stamkos is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Mueller
Stamkos
Home
43.9% (66)
52.0% (402)
Away
44.7% (38)
47.2% (417)
By Period
Mueller
Stamkos
P1
53.3%
46.3%
P2
42.5%
52.4%
P3
36.4%
50.2%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
61.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mueller
42.0%▼
45.6%
44.2%
Stamkos
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 15:46 | Defensive | Peter Mueller |
| Apr 27, 2013 | 3 | 11:31 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Peter Mueller |
| Apr 2, 2013 | 2 | 07:14 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:34 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |