Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 51.7% vs Regin 45.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 79.2%
Defensive zone
Spaling 88.3%
Neutral zone
Spaling 64.8%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 70.2%
70.2%
29.8%
Spaling
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Spaling
Regin
Last 8: Spaling 6-2 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
0
Spaling
Regin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
2
Spaling
Regin
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (119)
46.0% (352)
+10.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
45.5% (22)
-5.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
18.2% (22)
+26.0%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Spaling is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Spaling shoots left. Regin is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
Spaling
Regin
Home
40.0% (45)
43.0% (207)
Away
57.4% (122)
46.0% (189)
By Period
Spaling
Regin
P1
47.1%
48.7%
P2
52.2%
41.7%
P3
61.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
56.5%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.7%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 19:57 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 12:41 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Peter Regin |