Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Nokelainen on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 55.0% vs Nokelainen 52.6% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nokelainen 50.6%
Defensive zone
Vitale 52.3%
Neutral zone
Vitale 50.3%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Vitale
Nokelainen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Vitale
Nokelainen
Last 5: Vitale 2-3 Nokelainen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nokelainen
1
2
Vitale
Nokelainen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Vitale
Nokelainen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Nokelainen
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (646)
53.7% (257)
+2.2%
Power Play
100.0% (12)
50.0% (8)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (61)
53.8% (39)
-6.3%
On power play, Vitale has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nokelainen shoots right. Vitale is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (227).
Vitale shoots right. Nokelainen is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (139).
Home / Away
Vitale
Nokelainen
Home
56.9% (383)
53.1% (143)
Away
54.4% (340)
53.6% (166)
By Period
Vitale
Nokelainen
P1
51.5%
47.8%
P2
58.2%
56.6%
P3
56.8%
57.3%
OT
80.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
55.7%
Nokelainen
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2011 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Petteri Nokelainen |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Petteri Nokelainen |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 02:36 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 15:33 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Petteri Nokelainen |