Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Krebs 45.4% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cizikas 79.5%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 79.8%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 87.4%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
Cizikas
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Cizikas
Krebs
Last 5: Cizikas 4-1 Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
1
0
Cizikas
Krebs
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
1
Cizikas
Krebs
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (512)
44.4% (385)
+9.3%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
25.0% (4)
+75.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
45.0% (20)
+2.6%
On power play, Cizikas has a +75.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Cizikas is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Cizikas shoots left. Krebs is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Krebs
Home
51.9% (258)
46.8% (188)
Away
54.8% (299)
42.1% (221)
By Period
Cizikas
Krebs
P1
56.0%
47.2%
P2
55.1%
44.5%
P3
50.0%
41.1%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
52.0%▼
60.5%
53.5%
Krebs
44.0%▬
45.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:25 | Neutral | Peyton Krebs |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 05:31 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |