Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +17.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kessel wins 37.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kessel 40.5% vs Crosby 53.5% (-17.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kessel 81.7%
Defensive zone
Kessel 73.5%
Neutral zone
Kessel 81.3%
Result
Phil Kessel favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Kessel
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kessel
Crosby
Last 5: Kessel 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Kessel
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kessel
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kessel
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kessel
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
34.4% (163)
52.8% (17,990)
-18.4%
Power Play
46.7% (30)
57.4% (4,733)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
47.1% (765)
-22.1%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kessel is 37.2% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Kessel shoots right. Crosby is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (8,656).
Home / Away
Kessel
Crosby
Home
35.4% (99)
55.0% (11,972)
Away
36.0% (100)
52.0% (11,535)
By Period
Kessel
Crosby
P1
34.3%
53.6%
P2
32.9%
53.9%
P3
40.8%
53.3%
OT
42.9%
49.6%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kessel
34.0%▼
35.7%
35.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2010 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Phil Kessel |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |