Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kessel wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kessel 46.5% vs Crosby 55.1% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kessel 78.0%
Defensive zone
Kessel 62.8%
Neutral zone
Kessel 76.4%
Result
Phil Kessel favored at 74.6%
74.6%
25.4%
Kessel
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kessel
Crosby
Last 5: Kessel 1-4 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
Kessel
Crosby
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kessel
Crosby
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
1
Kessel
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kessel
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (45)
55.1% (648)
-15.1%
Power Play
50.0% (12)
58.6% (256)
-8.6%
On even strength, Crosby has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Kessel is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (37).
Kessel shoots right. Crosby is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Kessel
Crosby
Home
46.4% (28)
57.1% (552)
Away
35.5% (31)
53.8% (429)
By Period
Kessel
Crosby
P1
42.1%
60.3%
P2
40.9%
55.8%
P3
37.5%
50.8%
OT
50.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
60.0%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kessel
34.0%▼
35.7%
40.7%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 8, 2010 | 3 | 14:56 | Offensive | Phil Kessel |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 02:57 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 02:52 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 8, 2010 | 1 | 15:47 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |