Scouting Report
Phil Varone holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Varone on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Adams wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Adams 46.4% vs Varone 48.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Adams 54.5%
Defensive zone
Adams 64.2%
Neutral zone
Adams 58.1%
Result
Craig Adams favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Adams
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Adams
Varone
Last 8: Adams 2-6 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
0
3
Adams
Varone
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Adams
1
0
Adams
Varone
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
1
3
Adams
Varone
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Adams
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (106)
46.3% (54)
-2.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
50.0% (2)
+50.0%
On power play, Adams has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Adams is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Adams shoots right. Varone is 45.8% vs right-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Adams
Varone
Home
47.6% (82)
60.9% (23)
Away
38.6% (57)
36.4% (33)
By Period
Adams
Varone
P1
46.9%
54.5%
P2
38.3%
47.1%
P3
45.2%
35.3%
Final 5 min
44.8%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Adams
42.0%▼
45.0%
43.9%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2014 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 11:50 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 2 | 02:08 | Neutral | Craig Adams |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:56 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:54 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Feb 5, 2014 | 1 | 02:43 | Defensive | Craig Adams |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Phil Varone |