Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Peca wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Peca 50.2% vs Varone 47.7% (+2.9%)
Offensive zone
Varone 51.0%
Defensive zone
Peca 50.4%
Neutral zone
Peca 50.6%
Result
Matthew Peca favored at 50.0%
50.0%
50.0%
Peca
Varone
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Peca
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (423)
47.5% (575)
+4.0%
Power Play
12.5% (8)
38.5% (13)
-26.0%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
50.0% (2)
-5.8%
On power play, Varone has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Peca shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Peca
Varone
Home
46.1% (193)
48.0% (221)
Away
53.0% (281)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Peca
Varone
P1
56.6%
50.0%
P2
44.4%
42.7%
P3
50.3%
50.0%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%