Scouting Report
Phil Varone holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Domi wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Varone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 45.3% vs Varone 49.8% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 50.2%
Defensive zone
Varone 62.8%
Neutral zone
Varone 70.1%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 67.7%
32.3%
67.7%
Domi
Varone
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Domi
Varone
Last 6: Domi 4-2 Varone
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Domi
Varone
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
3
1
Domi
Varone
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (826)
49.7% (161)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (13)
50.0% (2)
-3.8%
On even strength, Varone has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Domi is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (705).
Domi shoots left. Varone is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Domi
Varone
Home
46.4% (524)
48.2% (56)
Away
43.2% (472)
50.5% (107)
By Period
Domi
Varone
P1
45.2%
57.7%
P2
42.7%
49.2%
P3
47.1%
41.7%
Final 5 min
46.4%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
44.9%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2019 | 3 | 11:48 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 2 | 02:56 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Feb 21, 2019 | 1 | 11:06 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 07:06 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:17 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 19, 2019 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Phil Varone |