Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 47.7% vs Nash 48.5% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 55.6%
Defensive zone
Nash 61.6%
Neutral zone
Nash 59.2%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Varone
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Varone
Nash
Last 6: Varone 4-2 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
2
0
Varone
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Varone
2
0
Varone
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Varone
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (575)
48.7% (4,621)
-1.2%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
51.0% (249)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
44.9% (550)
+5.1%
On power play, Nash has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Varone shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Varone
Nash
Home
48.0% (221)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
46.9% (369)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Varone
Nash
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
42.7%
47.9%
P3
50.0%
48.0%
OT
33.3%
68.4%
Final 5 min
44.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 09:33 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 2 | 14:43 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 08:18 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 8, 2015 | 1 | 00:17 | Defensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Phil Varone |