Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 47.7% vs Johansen 53.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 68.4%
Defensive zone
Varone 73.4%
Neutral zone
Varone 68.7%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Varone
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Varone
Johansen
Last 8: Varone 2-6 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
0
Varone
Johansen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
Varone
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
3
Varone
Johansen
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (575)
53.1% (11,017)
-5.6%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
56.2% (2,163)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
50.5% (978)
-0.5%
On power play, Johansen has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Varone shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Varone
Johansen
Home
48.0% (221)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
46.9% (369)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Varone
Johansen
P1
50.0%
53.2%
P2
42.7%
53.9%
P3
50.0%
52.8%
OT
33.3%
58.2%
Final 5 min
44.7%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2019 | 3 | 15:41 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 08:33 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:20 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 2 | 01:42 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Apr 10, 2015 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Jan 25, 2014 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |