Scouting Report
Phil Varone holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 47.7% vs Gionta 41.2% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 58.1%
Defensive zone
Gionta 59.4%
Neutral zone
Gionta 54.3%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Varone
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Varone
Gionta
Last 6: Varone 3-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Varone
1
0
Varone
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
3
Varone
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Varone
2
0
Varone
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (575)
40.6% (1,902)
+6.9%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
61.5% (26)
-23.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
40.1% (292)
+9.9%
On power play, Gionta has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Varone is 50.7% vs right-shot opponents (225).
Varone shoots left. Gionta is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,514).
Home / Away
Varone
Gionta
Home
48.0% (221)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
46.9% (369)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Varone
Gionta
P1
50.0%
40.8%
P2
42.7%
41.8%
P3
50.0%
39.8%
OT
33.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
44.7%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2015 | 3 | 14:50 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 3 | 11:42 | Neutral | Phil Varone |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 2 | 06:32 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 1 | 19:35 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 20, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phil Varone |