Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Varone wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 47.7% vs Smith 48.7% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 62.1%
Defensive zone
Varone 51.9%
Neutral zone
Varone 59.6%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Varone
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Varone
Smith
Last 7: Varone 1-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Varone
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Varone
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Varone
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (575)
49.0% (769)
-1.5%
Power Play
38.5% (13)
63.6% (22)
-25.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
42.4% (118)
+7.6%
On power play, Smith has a +25.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Varone shoots left. Smith is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Varone
Smith
Home
48.0% (221)
52.4% (490)
Away
46.9% (369)
44.0% (420)
By Period
Varone
Smith
P1
50.0%
46.9%
P2
42.7%
51.2%
P3
50.0%
47.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
44.7%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |