Scouting Report
Trevor Smith holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Varone wins 41.5% vs left-shot opponents — Smith shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Varone 46.2% vs Smith 51.9% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Varone 74.9%
Defensive zone
Varone 75.2%
Neutral zone
Varone 74.5%
Result
Phil Varone favored at 74.8%
74.8%
25.2%
Varone
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Varone
Smith
Last 7: Varone 1-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Varone
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Varone
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
3
Varone
Smith
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Varone
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
45.4% (315)
53.7% (449)
-8.3%
Power Play
36.4% (11)
80.0% (10)
-43.6%
On power play, Smith has a +43.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Varone is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (188).
Varone shoots left. Smith is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (350).
Home / Away
Varone
Smith
Home
44.5% (119)
55.0% (280)
Away
45.4% (207)
49.5% (281)
By Period
Varone
Smith
P1
44.5%
52.3%
P2
38.6%
52.1%
P3
53.5%
52.3%
Final 5 min
36.4%
60.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
45.1%
Smith
46.0%▼
52.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 13:24 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Apr 1, 2015 | 2 | 05:29 | Offensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 10:41 | Offensive | Phil Varone |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 06:06 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:19 | Defensive | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 16:02 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 1 | 14:09 | Neutral | Trevor Smith |