Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 45.0% vs Nash 48.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 77.9%
Defensive zone
Nash 53.5%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 64.9%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Kurashev
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kurashev
Nash
Last 7: Kurashev 2-5 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kurashev
2
1
Kurashev
Nash
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
4
Kurashev
Nash
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (904)
48.7% (4,621)
-4.2%
Power Play
45.0% (151)
51.0% (249)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (37)
44.9% (550)
-1.7%
On power play, Nash has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Kurashev is 50.2% vs right-shot opponents (434).
Kurashev shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Nash
Home
45.2% (511)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
43.9% (581)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Kurashev
Nash
P1
45.9%
49.0%
P2
44.3%
47.9%
P3
43.6%
48.0%
OT
38.5%
68.4%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
42.0%▼
45.5%
44.5%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 16:04 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 3 | 01:01 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:16 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 07:40 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Riley Nash |