Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gourde on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kurashev wins 36.3% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kurashev 43.7% vs Gourde 48.9% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kurashev 61.3%
Defensive zone
Kurashev 52.3%
Neutral zone
Kurashev 57.5%
Result
Philipp Kurashev favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Kurashev
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kurashev
Gourde
Last 5: Kurashev 2-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kurashev
Gourde
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gourde
1
2
Kurashev
Gourde
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kurashev
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.1% (233)
49.0% (557)
-6.9%
Power Play
26.7% (15)
65.9% (44)
-39.2%
On power play, Gourde has a +39.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Kurashev is 36.3% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Kurashev shoots left. Gourde is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Kurashev
Gourde
Home
40.6% (138)
49.0% (314)
Away
41.8% (110)
48.4% (335)
By Period
Kurashev
Gourde
P1
35.9%
54.0%
P2
49.4%
44.6%
P3
38.2%
48.4%
Final 5 min
40.4%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kurashev
38.0%▼
43.5%
41.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2021 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 18:53 | Defensive | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 7, 2021 | 3 | 13:35 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:00 | Neutral | Philipp Kurashev |
| Mar 4, 2021 | 3 | 15:09 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |