Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Marchand on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Marchand wins 41.0% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 46.3% vs Danault 55.2% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 77.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 63.5%
Neutral zone
Marchand 54.5%
Result
Brad Marchand favored at 61.1%
61.1%
38.9%
Marchand
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Marchand
Danault
Last 5: Marchand 2-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchand
2
1
Marchand
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
Marchand
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
40.5% (79)
54.8% (1,222)
-14.3%
Power Play
63.2% (19)
81.6% (49)
-18.4%
Penalty Kill
14.3% (7)
54.3% (317)
-40.0%
On penalty kill, Danault has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Marchand is 41.0% vs left-shot opponents (83).
Marchand shoots left. Danault is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Marchand
Danault
Home
44.3% (61)
56.2% (770)
Away
40.9% (44)
54.9% (818)
By Period
Marchand
Danault
P1
51.8%
52.5%
P2
36.0%
57.9%
P3
30.4%
55.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
42.9%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2019 | 3 | 18:13 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 2 | 16:16 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |
| Jan 14, 2019 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 3 | 12:30 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |
| Oct 27, 2018 | 2 | 04:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |