Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Marchand wins 40.5% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchand 47.7% vs Danault 54.2% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchand 73.6%
Defensive zone
Danault 60.3%
Neutral zone
Marchand 54.2%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Marchand
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Marchand
Danault
Last 5: Marchand 2-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchand
1
0
Marchand
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
3
Marchand
Danault
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchand
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.2% (42)
55.0% (1,008)
-9.8%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
65.7% (99)
-32.4%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
47.6% (229)
-14.3%
On power play, Danault has a +32.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Marchand is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (42).
Marchand shoots left. Danault is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Marchand
Danault
Home
40.0% (25)
53.0% (677)
Away
46.2% (26)
56.0% (659)
By Period
Marchand
Danault
P1
45.5%
50.6%
P2
38.1%
55.8%
P3
50.0%
57.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchand
42.0%▲
37.0%
43.1%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2019 | 2 | 10:44 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 26, 2019 | 2 | 00:15 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:59 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Brad Marchand |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:28 | Defensive | Brad Marchand |