Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Tierney wins 46.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 46.2% vs Danault 48.0% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tierney 54.0%
Defensive zone
Tierney 53.1%
Neutral zone
Danault 55.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Tierney
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Tierney
Danault
Last 9: Tierney 7-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tierney
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
6
1
Tierney
Danault
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (648)
47.6% (485)
-1.9%
Power Play
66.7% (12)
66.7% (9)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (145)
40.0% (25)
+4.1%
On penalty kill, Tierney has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Tierney is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (549).
Tierney shoots left. Danault is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Tierney
Danault
Home
48.5% (394)
46.5% (230)
Away
43.1% (411)
48.4% (289)
By Period
Tierney
Danault
P1
48.7%
47.4%
P2
49.0%
45.7%
P3
40.6%
49.5%
Final 5 min
48.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
45.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 14:50 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 19:06 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 10:28 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 2 | 07:09 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 15:39 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 10:26 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 06:38 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |