Connor McMichael vs Phillip Danault
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Danault 54.8% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 76.3%
Defensive zone
McMichael 82.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 77.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
McMichael
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McMichael
Danault
Last 5: McMichael 1-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Danault
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
McMichael
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
0
2
McMichael
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
56.5% (711)
-14.1%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
46.0% (50)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
51.7% (116)
-11.1%
On even strength, Danault has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Danault is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
McMichael
Danault
Home
43.0% (298)
57.0% (379)
Away
42.5% (252)
54.0% (498)
By Period
McMichael
Danault
P1
46.5%
55.8%
P2
41.1%
55.3%
P3
41.3%
54.8%
Final 5 min
44.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 01:15 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 05:28 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:17 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |