Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lazar on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lazar wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lazar 45.0% vs Danault 48.0% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lazar 53.9%
Defensive zone
Danault 74.3%
Neutral zone
Danault 58.6%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Lazar
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lazar
Danault
Last 6: Lazar 4-2 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Lazar
Danault
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
1
Lazar
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lazar
2
0
Lazar
Danault
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lazar
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (341)
47.6% (485)
-3.3%
Power Play
46.2% (26)
66.7% (9)
-20.5%
Penalty Kill
29.4% (17)
40.0% (25)
-10.6%
On power play, Danault has a +20.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Lazar is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (262).
Lazar shoots right. Danault is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Lazar
Danault
Home
45.0% (202)
46.5% (230)
Away
42.3% (182)
48.4% (289)
By Period
Lazar
Danault
P1
45.5%
47.4%
P2
43.0%
45.7%
P3
42.1%
49.5%
Final 5 min
49.4%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lazar
74.0%▲
64.0%
43.8%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 14:41 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 18:13 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 08:04 | Defensive | Curtis Lazar |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 02:11 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |