Scouting Report
David Backes holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backes on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Backes wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backes 55.3% vs Danault 55.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backes 72.9%
Defensive zone
Danault 74.5%
Neutral zone
Danault 56.7%
Result
David Backes favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Backes
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Backes
Danault
Last 8: Backes 5-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backes
5
2
Backes
Danault
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Backes
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backes
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (228)
54.8% (1,222)
+0.9%
Power Play
65.2% (66)
81.6% (49)
-16.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
54.3% (317)
-14.3%
On power play, Danault has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Backes is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (234).
Backes shoots right. Danault is 58.8% vs right-shot opponents (546).
Home / Away
Backes
Danault
Home
55.9% (188)
56.2% (770)
Away
58.7% (121)
54.9% (818)
By Period
Backes
Danault
P1
53.0%
52.5%
P2
56.6%
57.9%
P3
60.8%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backes
56.0%▲
49.5%
57.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 2 | 02:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 17, 2018 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 3 | 04:48 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 15:30 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 2 | 04:11 | Offensive | David Backes |
| Nov 24, 2018 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | David Backes |