Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Beagle wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Beagle 54.7% vs Danault 52.2% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danault 58.2%
Defensive zone
Beagle 65.9%
Neutral zone
Beagle 62.6%
Result
Jay Beagle favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Beagle
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Beagle
Danault
Last 8: Beagle 5-3 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Beagle
Danault
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
2
1
Beagle
Danault
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
0
Beagle
Danault
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Beagle
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (212)
55.1% (720)
+3.9%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (20)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (94)
41.3% (167)
+8.7%
On penalty kill, Beagle has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Beagle is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Beagle shoots right. Danault is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Beagle
Danault
Home
57.9% (171)
54.5% (442)
Away
54.0% (137)
50.5% (465)
By Period
Beagle
Danault
P1
53.3%
53.8%
P2
61.5%
54.2%
P3
54.1%
49.8%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
41.3%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.2%
Danault
62.0%▲
58.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Mar 10, 2021 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 8, 2021 | 1 | 08:36 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 09:04 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 20, 2021 | 2 | 08:57 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |