Scouting Report
Joe Thornton holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thornton wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 52.6% vs Danault 48.0% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 57.2%
Defensive zone
Danault 81.0%
Neutral zone
Danault 59.0%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 55.2%
44.8%
55.2%
Thornton
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Thornton
Danault
Last 7: Thornton 2-5 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Thornton
Danault
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Danault
0
1
Thornton
Danault
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Danault
1
2
Thornton
Danault
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (577)
47.6% (485)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.7% (168)
66.7% (9)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
40.0% (25)
-2.5%
On power play, Danault has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Thornton is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Thornton shoots left. Danault is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (327).
Home / Away
Thornton
Danault
Home
53.0% (379)
46.5% (230)
Away
52.9% (374)
48.4% (289)
By Period
Thornton
Danault
P1
53.3%
47.4%
P2
50.7%
45.7%
P3
54.3%
49.5%
Final 5 min
51.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
53.0%
Danault
54.0%▼
57.5%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2016 | 3 | 02:14 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 05:27 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 29, 2016 | 1 | 00:29 | Defensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:47 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 01:44 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Dec 20, 2015 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |